Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 83.869203 93.756764 103.819705 114.796583 126.403030 138.281672 151.329419
2025-09-28 66.587537 80.675413 95.626849 112.549722 131.051981 150.557517 172.568508
2025-10-05 59.905266 76.788623 95.225614 116.598781 140.456356 166.055849 195.396021
2025-10-12 53.957525 72.840972 93.997615 119.036398 147.475850 178.434906 214.360438
2025-10-19 47.410282 67.484751 90.560598 118.422675 150.590158 186.074075 227.712496
2025-10-26 41.895180 62.822619 87.480504 117.812021 153.352597 193.020095 240.022543
2025-11-02 37.815085 59.539892 85.724162 118.470917 157.337825 201.153891 253.497577
2025-11-09 33.503230 55.603120 82.885552 117.589927 159.314533 206.817993 264.018803
2025-11-16 30.180150 52.671371 81.066351 117.746962 162.355345 213.581312 275.688416
2025-11-23 26.680213 49.220175 78.374186 116.649003 163.746682 218.304401 284.905270
2025-11-30 24.605305 47.557980 77.843256 118.120932 168.142855 226.480191 298.069510
2025-12-07 22.847744 46.202186 77.607599 119.880075 172.824408 234.947504 311.541646
2025-12-14 20.205672 43.385992 75.335472 118.999642 174.264199 239.597224 320.611155
2025-12-21 17.307415 39.930090 72.020532 116.637217 173.766771 241.858154 326.815127
2025-12-28 16.804514 40.150933 73.725449 120.779941 181.352022 253.813786 344.474586
2026-01-04 15.826347 39.526399 74.196913 123.264599 186.835508 263.222888 359.112051
2026-01-11 14.007966 37.361514 72.383273 122.638909 188.335611 267.762860 367.921829
2026-01-18 12.358890 35.319055 70.635639 122.015957 189.773794 272.179282 376.546848
2026-01-25 11.194493 34.011941 69.887384 122.688075 192.826058 278.541223 387.485673
2026-02-01 9.749747 32.035715 68.044905 121.789409 193.800662 282.310180 395.273725
2026-02-08 8.679349 30.645158 67.010986 121.949598 196.104895 287.690785 404.987511
2026-02-15 7.437926 28.755050 65.111082 120.829544 196.686230 290.897213 412.037779
2026-02-22 6.825728 28.092996 65.092753 122.331074 200.688107 298.350529 424.246299